Hog farmers are hurting and asking for help

Hog farmers are hurting.

COVID-19 has put a serious crimp in the U.S. economy and nowhere is that more evident than in agriculture. More specifically, American hog farmers are struggling to stay on farms because they’re having trouble getting their hogs to market. Big trouble, in fact. Hogs are so far backed up on the farm that producers may have a tough decision to make in the not-too-distant future.

Those of us in the agricultural media don’t often hear the word “euthanize” in press conferences. Unfortunately, it came up multiple times during a press conference hosted by the National Pork Producers Council. As prices for hogs have plummeted, Howard ‘A.V.’ Roth, NPPC President, says things are as bad as they’ve ever been after several years of a depressed farm economy.

hog farmers
Hog farmers are hurting and the “other white meat industry” could be in trouble. COVID-19 has only accelerated a price decline that began almost two years ago during the U.S.-China trade war. Pork farmers are reaching out and asking for help. (Photo from the duluthnewstribune.com)

“We are now an ag sector in dire crisis,” Roth said to reporters. “Farmers are already exiting the business and the damage will only intensify without direct intervention from the federal government.”

Speaking as a hog producer himself, Roth says the pork industry has a list of several things it needs in order to help keep as many farmers in operation as possible. The first item on their wish list would clear out a tremendous amount of stored pork supplies as quickly as possible, plus it would get food into the hands of people who need it.

“Over $1 billion in pork purchases by USDA to clear out a backed-up meat supply, while supplementing food bank programs around the country facing increased demand for food as unemployment continues to rise,” Roth said. “These purchases should come from packaged pork that was intended for restaurants and other segments of the foodservice market.”

In all the years I’ve covered agriculture, I can tell you from firsthand experience that farmers want to make their living from the markets, not government handouts. How desperate are pork farmers to stay in business?

“We need direct payments to producers without eligibility restrictions,” Roth says.

They’re also hoping to see China remove retaliatory tariffs on U.S. pork that are still in place despite the Phase One trade agreement between the two countries. Roth points out that it’s no secret China needs a reliable source of affordable pork after their herds were decimated by the African Swine Fever virus.

“Removing those damaging tariffs would get us back on a level playing field with our international competitors,” Roth says. “Dr. Dermot Hayes, an economist with Iowa State University, says removing those tariffs would allow U.S. exports to China to more than double their current volume.”

How badly does China need pork, one of the most preferred proteins in the Asian diet? Let’s just say that Chinese pork producers, who can’t ever hope to meet their country’s domestic demand, are enjoying some pretty high prices for their products right now.

“While Chinese producers are enjoying record pork values, U.S. producers are facing a dire decision on our farms,” Roth said. “Sadly, it’s true. Without significant assistance, euthanizing is a question that’s going to begin coming up on our farms.

“Let me be the first to say, as a pork producer, we care about our animals,” he added. “The last thing we ever want to do is euthanize even one animal. We’re going to do everything in our power to make sure that doesn’t happen.”

Producers may be able to at least push that decision back somewhat, thanks to a recent decision by the Environmental Protection Agency. Michael Formica, Assistant Vice President of Domestic Affairs and Counsel at NPPC, says hog housing restrictions have been temporarily relaxed.

“We reached out to EPA to ensure that if we were ever in a situation like the one we face now, producers would have an option to hold animals on their farm,” Formica said. “All of the farms are permitted to hold a certain number of animals. If they exceed those numbers, they have to go through new permitting.

“We asked EPA for a temporary waiver of the thresholds during the crisis we’re facing,” Formica said, “and thankfully, they granted that request a couple of weeks ago. That’s a tool that many farmers can use to hold animals on their farms while additional animals come through the pipeline.”

He says it’s important to point out that’s an advantage for farmers only if they have adequate additional space. If the backup continues indefinitely, they will run out of space and that’s when they have to start culling otherwise healthy animals from their herds, simply because there won’t be enough space to take care of them.

Why is it all piling up on hog farmers so quickly? Nick Giordano, Vice President of Global Government Affairs and Counsel for NPPC, says hog producers were the first to be hit hard by the trade war with China.

“Hog farmers were there at the tip of the Chinese retaliation spear,” he said. “Trade retaliation from two key markets, Mexico and China, in 2018 and 2019, took $20 off the prices that producers received for every hog.

‘Unlike a lot of the other segments in our economy that came into the COVID-19 outbreak with record profits and a full head of steam, our producers were already hurting. This has made a bad financial situation infinitely worse.”

How far have things fallen across the industry? Iowa State’s Dr. Hayes says in just one month, from March 10 to April 10, the pork industry has lost $5 billion in value. Something has to change.

Coronavirus and Possible Effects on Commodity Markets

Coronavirus
Joe Vaclavik, founder and president of Standard Grains in Chicago talks about the potential effect the Coronavirus may or may not have on the grains. (Photo from vimeo.com)

Coronavirus. As it continues to make headlines, commodity experts are wondering what kind of effect the spread of the virus will have on markets. Joe Vaclavik, President of Standard Grains in Chicago, says the outbreak will have some effect, but it’s hard to tell what kind or for how long.

“It’s not a positive. I don’t know that it’s the biggest negative in the world. It could be, and that’s why you’re seeing liquidation in some of these markets, like the stock market, and that’s why you’re seeing the grain markets soften up. Nobody wants to be long in this stuff. The Coronavirus probably goes the way of SARS, or some of these other similar types of outbreaks that we’ve last a month, maybe two months, maybe the better part of a year. Then, it probably makes its way out of the headline.

He says the possibility of a significant impact on markets has likely grown over the past couple of weeks.

“There’s always that risk that it turns into something much bigger. It could eventually disrupt the flow of trade. Maybe there’s a country out there that decides to throw up trade barriers and says ‘hey, we don’t want corn from the U.S. because they’ve got too much of that virus going around. There’s always that sort of risk on the table.”

Coronavirus
Mike Zuzolo, President of Global Commodity Analytics in Atchison, Kansas, says there are a couple ways to look at the spread of Coronavirus and it’s possible effect on the livestock markets. (Photo from YouTube.com)

Mike Zuzolo, President of Global Commodity Analytics in Kansas, says the virus will likely have a significant impact on China’s poultry flocks. Separate reports have millions of chickens “on the edge of death.” But they aren’t necessarily sick with Coronavirus.

“Animal feed suppliers cannot get their shipments through, raw materials can’t get through, and this also corresponds with another article from the South China Morning Post that said hedging is not being done, soy meal is not being hedged, so soybeans are not being bought. I think what you’re looking at is probably pent-up demand for the livestock industry and that 300-million chickens die because of not being fed because of Coronavirus. That number of pounds of protein, you’re going to have to replace, eventually.

There is a long-term buying potential for commodities, but only if the virus outbreak doesn’t last longer than reports are suggesting.

“If China and the scientists are correct and we see a peak in the maximum pressure of this virus, outbreaks of this virus, and, in the next 7-10 days, the price action we’re seeing right now will not last. It will set up a long-term buying potential for commodities.

Again, that’s Mike Zuzolo of Global Commodity Analytics, as well as Joe Vaclavik of Standard Grains.

The Smith family returns to Como Zoo in St. Paul

Como Zoo in St. Paul is a Smith family favorite. It’s one of the family’s favorite places to be together. We’ve been going there for years because we spent a lot of time in the Twin Cities before finally settling here a couple years ago.

Como Zoo
The ostriches at Como Zoo in St. Paul were really giving Gaelan Smith the stinkeye. It was hilarious! (Photo by Chad Smith

If you’ve never been there, I recommend taking the family. There’s no cost to get in, other than a suggested donation. As far as I know, Como Zoo exists entirely on donations from the public. There may or may not be patrons that make regular donations, but I have no idea for sure.

Here’s proof: Gaelan Smith getting the stinkeye from one dorky bird.

The zoo is set up really well. A family getting lost there means they worked hard to do so. There’s likely a little something for everyone. There’s a polar bear exhibit, which is one of our favorites. Unfortunately, we picked a scorching hot day to visit Como Zoo, so there wasn’t much outside activity. There’s big cats, including a beautiful tiger!

There are silverback gorillas in there and they are amazing to watch move around. They’re so big, powerful, and graceful. Como Zoo currently has an entire gorilla family, including three youngsters. Of course, what do Monique and Talisa Smith notice? “The father is laying on his back, doing nothing, while mom watches the brood,” they said while laughing.

We saw a mother orangutan playing with her baby. The little one smiled from ear to ear. I’ve got a little video here of the two of them playing. The quality is less than I hoped for the fingerprints covered the windows.

The only thing I hope the zoo can get cleared up is some of the aquatic displays. The weather was hot and steamy, so the tanks all had condensation on them. However, the tanks need cleaning desperately, so much so that we couldn’t see some of the fish in there. I’m really hoping they can get enough help to take care of that particular problem.

Those aquatic displays really did need a little bit of work to get cleaned up.

Giraffes really are goofy-looking creatures, aren’t they?

Giraffes are really weird looking animals, aren’t they? (Photo by Chad Smith)

To coin a phrase from Art Linkletter (how’s that for long-term memory?), “Kids Say the Darndest Things.” I forget which kid said it, but I heard a voice say, “Wouldn’t it stink to be a giraffe and choke? How long would it take before the rest of its body figured out it was choking?” Of course, my only intelligent response was “depends on how far down the throat it got?” And I have a Master’s Degree. So proud.

Have you seen that little cabin exhibit between the Como Zoo entrance and the primate display? Looks just like a settler’s cabin you may have seen all those many years ago in Minnesota.

I love this little cabin that sits near the entrance of Como Zoo in St. Paul. Never noticed the water wheel behind it before. (Photo by Chad Smith)

Do you think we interrupted something here? Get a room, for goodness sakes.

Good grief, get a private room or something.

Last but not least, can I show you my favorite exhibit? It’s this guy:

He was adorable! BTW, it’s a tree sloth, in case you’ve never seen one before.

That tree sloth in the jungle exhibit cracked us all up. When we came through the door, the slot was sitting up on that same branch while scratching his left side. By the time we’d gotten around the exhibit, he passed out. Must have been some serious hard work?

I leave you with the zebras.