Trade dispute puts U.S. agriculture right in the middle

Trade is important to agriculture. There, I said it. American agriculture is the best in the world. When you produce goods at the rate we do, there has to be somewhere to sell it overseas. However, thanks to the trade dispute with China, as well as recent disputes with some of our top trading partners, trade isn’t happening with the regularity it needs to.

trade
Trade has never been more important for U.S. agriculture. One analyst says U.S. agriculture might have become a little too reliant on China as a customer? (Photo from thepacker.com)

In turn, when trade doesn’t happen the way it should, prices drop and farmers can’t make a living. I wanted to find out more about the trade dispute and what’s really going on. When you want to learn something like that, you find someone with skin in the game that can teach you the ins and outs.

Dan Ujczo (YOOT-zoh) is an international trade lawyer with the Dickinson-Wright Law Firm of Columbus, Ohio. I’ve known him for over a year now, ever since the dispute began. In typical Chad Smith fashion, my first question is “what the hell is going on here?” How’s that for direct and to the point?

“There was never going to be a deal in which things would go back to the way they were prior to January of 2017, when President Trump was inaugurated,” Ujczo said. “When Trump met with President Xi last December, they both thought we’d have a deal inside of 90 days. Then we heard they would make a deal in May.

“We never thought there would be a deal in which tariffs were completely rolled back,” he said. “Certainly not on the items from List One and List Two, which were an initial 25 percent duty on $50 billion worth of goods.”

When it comes to the items on List One and List Two, Ujczo says the U.S. government talked with industry and looked at the future of manufacturing, deciding then that these are the items we don’t want China taking the lead on. “Tariffs probably weren’t ever coming off those items,” he said.

Here’s the full conversation:

The Weather stud’s weather forecast

The weather forecast. You know you’re paying extra attention if you live in the Upper Midwest as I do (Minnesota and any of the surrounding states). Simply put, you’re wondering when the white stuff falling from the sky will finally end. After all, it’s getting really hard to find places to pile the extra snow when it’s time to shovel (or snow blow) the driveway. So, I figured it was time to call up my favorite weather guy, Ryan Martin of Warsaw, Indiana, to get a weather forecast of what’s coming for different areas of the country in late winter and early spring.

Weather forecast
Ag meteorologist Ryan Martin speaks during a recent event. Martin is the Chief Meteorologist for Hoosier Ag Today. (photo from hoosieragtoday.com)

“From Iowa and northward through the Upper Midwest, it’s been a very snow-filled winter to this point,” he said. “We’ve exceeded total snowfall amounts in our forecasts by a little bit. One thing you need to note is the fact that it’s still February.

“We generally expect the snowfall patterns to gradually start to ease up in mid-to-late March,” he added. “I think we’re going to be on track to see that this year. Am I calling for an immediate stoppage of now? No. What I do see is temps switching from below normal to normal to slightly above normal. You’ll see more rain mixing in with the snow as March progresses.”

In the weather forecast for the eastern Corn Belt, including the Ohio River Valley, Indiana, Ohio, and the Great Lakes Region, Martin says things take a more active turn as February turns into early March. There’s going to be some “excessive” precipitation moving through that area.

“Temps are going to be on a roller coaster,” Martin said. “We had the brutal cold snap a few weeks ago but are now transitioning into a period during which temps will average out to normal. But, keep in mind that means you could be ten degrees above normal one day and ten below the next day. I’m seeing a lot of rain in the eastern Corn Belt region, which will have a big impact on Ohio River levels, mid-and-lower-Mississippi River levels, and even the Illinois River levels.

Find out Ryan’s weather forecast for the Plains States, the Delta region, as well as the western United States forecast.